Saturday, 29 June 2013

Weekly update 29/06/2013

Hello traders and welcome to the weekly recap for the week ending 29/06/2013. Quick update on my trade on Friday. Order was stopped out on the back of Aussie dollar weakeness as the US dollar continued to surge on the back QE tapering speculation.

Heading into a week full of event risks to start the new financial year with the following data on tap:

Mon EUR CPI
TUE AUD RBA interest rate decision
THU GBP BOE interest rate decision
THU EUR EUR interest rate decision and monetary statement
FRI USD The almighty non farm payrolls pring (NFP)

Key levels for the coming week:

Pair Level(s) Description Bias
EUR/USD 1.3 - 1.31 Potential short entry on reverse pin bar fakeout. Bullish above 1.31 Bearish
EUR/JPY 129.483, 127, 125.162 Barely closed above the downward sloping trend line starting from May top. Outlook neutral for the moment. Neutral
EUR/GBP 0.85894, 0.847, 0.84 Price rejected from key level (pin bar formation). Will watch for short trade opportunity. Bullish above 0.8589 Neutral
EUR/AUD 1.4396, 1.41681, 1.39769 Aussie weakness persisting. Price may be targeting 1.4396 retest this week. Bullish
AUD/USD 0.93864, 0.9, 0.877 Fresh multi-year low. Targeting 0.9 psychological level, then 0.877. Bearish
AUD/JPY 89.087, 92.95 Price consollidating between 89 and 93 levels. Neutral
NZD/USD 0.78128, 0.74565 Still in consolidation range. Overall bias is still bearish. Bearish
AUD/NZD 1.18484, 1.17336 Aussie unable to gather any bullish momentum. May see a bearish extension this week. Bearish
AUD/CAD 0.96389, 0.9569, 0.94815 Watching for short entry signal at 0.96389 level. Bearish
USD/CHF 0.95529, 0.935, 0.92054 Ranging price action. Watch for long entry at 0.935 level. Bullish
USD/JPY 99.879, 96.995, 98 Watching for long entry back towards the 98 level Bullish
XAU/USD 1243, 1273 Persistent strength in bear trend. Watch for short entry signal. Bearish
SPX500 1624, 1600 Expecting bearish continuation. Technically into a corrective zig zag pattern. Bearish
USDOLLAR 10876, 10576 Strong bullish momentum. Will probably look to crack 10876 this week. A disappointing NFP could sink the trend. Bullish
US Oil 97.63 Price still consolidating below the 98 level. Neutral at the moment. Set short entry at 97.32 level. Close above 97.65 confirms bullish scenario. Neutral
USD/CAD 1.045, 1.055 Close above 1.045 level cofirms bullish scenario. Watch for long entry signals. Bullish
GBP/USD 1.51754 Strong bearish momenum. Watch for retracement opportunity for short. Short-term correction possible. Bearish
GBP/JPY 151.849, 150.458, 149.698 Ranging price action. Slightly bullish. Watch for long opportunity this week. Bullish
GBP/CAD 1.60415, 1.58770 Price consolidating below 1.60415. Only above this level is bullish scenario restored. Bearish
GBP/AUD 1.667, 1.663 Bullish momentum. Continuation should be confirmed if price closes above 1.667. Bullish

Good luck trading this week!

No comments:

Post a Comment